How the Musk & Trump Post Tracker Works
mktracker.info polls the Polymarket xtracker API every minute and stores each snapshot in a local database, building a continuous archive of post counts for Elon Musk on X and Donald Trump on Truth Social. This lets traders see in real time how current posting pace compares to what a Polymarket weekly or monthly market needs in order to resolve YES — without manually refreshing the accounts or doing the arithmetic themselves.
Active Polymarket Markets Table
The table at the top lists every currently open Polymarket prediction market tied to the selected account. For each market you see the exact window in Eastern Time, how much time remains, the cumulative post total so far, the current daily pace, and the historical average posts per day from closed market days. The Pace % column is the key signal: it computes what share of the expected total has already accumulated relative to how much of the window has elapsed. Above 100 % means the account is posting ahead of schedule; below 100 % means it is lagging behind the pace required for a YES outcome.
Daily Post History Chart
The Daily History chart plots the number of posts per calendar day, measured midnight-to-midnight in New York time. Two source modes are available: GLOBAL shows every post regardless of any specific Polymarket market; MARKET isolates the count within the exact window of the currently selected market. Extending the view to 30, 60, 90, or 120 days reveals weekly posting cycles, extended quiet periods, news-driven spikes, and structural shifts in posting cadence — all of which inform probability estimates for open markets.
Hourly Activity Chart
The Hourly Activity chart breaks posting behavior down to the hour of the day in the America/New York timezone. In Period mode the chart aggregates all posts across the selected date range and shows how many posts typically fall in each one-hour window — useful for identifying peak and quiet hours. In Day mode you can inspect any single 24-hour period in detail, which is helpful when today is running unusually high or low and you want to know whether the pace has already deviated from the norm by midday. All values are displayed as whole integers: posts per hour, not rolling averages or fractions.
Day-of-Week Averages
The Day-of-Week chart averages post volume by weekday — Monday through Sunday — over a rolling 56, 84, or 120-day window. This pattern is surprisingly stable over time and provides a reliable baseline for forecasting. If the historical Sunday average is 18 posts but the current Sunday is already tracking at 30 posts by noon Eastern, that divergence is a direct signal for Polymarket traders assessing whether a weekly YES threshold will be hit. Longer windows smooth out outlier weeks; shorter windows are more sensitive to recent trend changes.
Quick Indicators & Custom Range
The Quick Indicators panel surfaces the most actionable numbers without requiring chart navigation: today's count since the 12:00 NY Polymarket day boundary, rolling 3-day, 7-day, and 30-day averages, and the all-time average since the account was created. The Custom Range calculator returns the exact post count between any two dates — useful for backtesting how a past Polymarket window actually resolved or for spot-checking a specific period before placing a trade.